Editor’s note: James Williamson, one of my younger brothers, an Ohio native, but currently residing in Nevada, authored this blog piece and has previously written guest blogs for Buckeye RINO, which you may read here, here, here, and here. While I’ve often offer election endorsements, it is true that I don’t often make predictions of the outcomes. I’m more interested in how I think you should vote rather than how I think you will vote. I have offered predictions about trends in economics, foreign affairs, and religion, though. Further, I wouldn’t go out on a limb and say the Tea Party Movement belongs to the Republicans, as independents, Libertarians, moderate Democrats, and those from other minor political parties are welcome to participate in the Party, and have, in fact, participated in significant numbers. I concede that the public perception may be that a coalition of independents and a splinter group of Republicans (the ones who have “gone rogue”) are the nucleus around which the Tea Party Movement has coalesced, and that the MSM plays up the dynamics of the interactions between the Tea Party Movement and the GOP, thus portraying the Tea Party Movement and the GOP as joined at the hip. I think Sharron Angle surprised everyone with $14 million raised during the latest financial reporting cycle, which underscores the assertions that James has printed here.–DJW
TEA PARTY WILL NOT HURT THE GOP
Recently there have been some statements by prominent members of the Democratic Party that tea party candidates will weaken the GOP by placing radicals on the ballot that cannot get elected in a general election. Don’t be fooled this nothing more than wishful thinking on the part of the Democrats. There are at least three reasons why the Tea Party candidates will not hurt, but actually may help the GOP’s chances of taking back Congress in November.
1. The schism within the party isn’t really a schism. Ironically it was the Republicans two years ago who were pointing at the Hillary Clinton – Barack Obama runoff that touched of serious debate (and name calling) within the Democratic Party and tried to say that the Democratic Party was on the verge of falling apart. No such luck for the Republicans then and no such luck for the Democrats now. Again, ironically, it was Bill Clinton who tried to calm critics in his own party by saying that there was nothing wrong with having rigorous debate within the party, that it was all part of the political process, and that there was no reason to run around yelling “The sky is falling.” The same Bill Clinton that is now calling the Tea Party candidates radicals and extremists. Politically motivated or just an astute observer? I’ll let you decide that. Despite all the rhetoric, the Tea Party movement belongs in the GOP. It wouldn’t survive in the Democratic Party because it runs against everything the Democrats believe in. The fundamentals of the movement do strike a chord with Republicans, though, as it would be impossible to win a primary if it didn’t. The mere fact that the Tea Party candidates are winning GOP primaries is evidence that no third party is forthcoming. After all, it was when Teddy Roosevelt couldn’t win his party’s nomination that he formed the Bull Moose Party. The Tea Partiers may be upstarts within the Republican Party but they definitely belong to it and the RNC better get used to the idea.
2. Anti-establishmentarianism is stronger than the establishment wants to believe. It is so strong (and not without reason) that I predict that record numbers of newcomers to Congress will be elected this year. (I haven’t done the math, but at this point that may not be much of a prediction since there are so many newcomer candidates and vacating incumbents.) Why else could Sharron Angle be virtually tied with Harry Reid in the polls? If Angle has no political experience, no money (compared to Reid), and no brains (according to her critics) then why is she running neck and neck with the highest ranking official in the Senate? The answer is simple: Voters don’t care about experience and they don’t care how much money you have. I will make one more prediction on this one (even though the Buckeye RINO doesn’t like to make predictions, I have no qualms about doing so. I don’t get embarrassed when I’m wrong.): Money won’t matter this election. In fact it may actually hurt you come November because you will be viewed as the establishment AKA the enemy. These are perfect conditions for the Tea Party Movement and without the anti-establishment mood the movement would never have gotten off the ground.
3. The GOP needed a whipping. As many others have noted, both parties have been swinging wildly left on the political spectrum. Republicans barely have more fiscal restraint than Democrats. Even on moral issues there has been a leftward drift. Some may think that this is a reflection of the change in thought of the public or even simply progress in political thought, but support for the Tea Party Movement refutes those notions. The public has not shifted to the left. The political elites have. With things out of balance and Washington being ever deafer to constituents, a pull back to the right is necessary to keep things in balance. I would point out that even in Europe so-called right-wing “extremists” have made a lot of headway in the last decade.
I might even go so far as to say that the Tea Party Movement may actually become what saves our political process and averts outright revolution. You can only ignore your constituents for so long before they get angry and only so long after that before they go for their guns…. Of course I could be wrong on that count too. The Tea Party Movement may not be enough to get the blue bloods in Washington to listen and we may need a second American Revolution…