NO on 6: Backers will only debate when they have advantage

Jill of Writes Like She Talks had forwarded a link to a WCPN podcast addressing Issue 6.  Melanie Elsey, co-hair of Vote No Casinos, and Dr. Bradley Pressman, co-founder of MyOhioNow, the organization sponsoring Issue 6, joined host Dan Mouthrop on WCPN’s Sound of Ideas on the morning of Tuesday, October 21st.  My first reaction, while listening to the podcast, was “They’re allowing Pressman to dominate the discussion.  Pressman talks in the loudest voice, and talks the most.  Though there are some challenges put to Pressman that he doesn’t aptly respond to, if one wasn’t listening to the content closely, one would conclude that Pressman was permitted to speak with too much authority.”  I, myself, wanted to jump into the debate and start challenging Pressman, because I felt that the host and the other guest weren’t challenging him enough.  So I wrote an e-mail back to Jill, and in the intro I said, “Thanks, Jill.  I’ve been listening to the podcast.  Unfortunately, the pro-gambling advocate dominated the discussion throughout, so I don’t think I’ll link to this on my blog.”  While the arguments against Issue 6 are there (You can listen for yourselves at the links above.), Pressman bullies his way through the debate, and I didn’t think it would be the most persuasive case I could make on my blog against Issue 6.

This morning, however, I ran across this piece of information from Daily Briefing, the online political blog of the Columbus Dispatch.  It seems that MyOhioNow only participates in debates that allow them to have an advantage!!!!  Well, well, well.  How about that?

So, what is it about the debate that wouldn’t allow MyOhioNow to enjoy an advantage?  Was it a scary debate opponent?  Nope.  The opponent would have been a representative of No on 6, a campaign committee that Argosy casinos is a stakeholder in.  I told Jill in an e-mail, “Part of what’s inhibiting the debate against Issue 6 is that Argosy’s voice is one of the loudest voices against it, and Argosy obviously doesn’t make any case against gambling.  Argosy only make cases against the monopoly and the wording of the constitutional amendment.”  There’s a lot that can be said against Issue 6 from the standpoint that the constitution is being amended, that the proposal is for a monopoly, and that the wording of the proposal is reckless, (like the point Crabby Fat Guy makes here, or the point Word of Mouth contributor Kalin Stipe makes here) to be sure, but there’s a fuller scope of challenges one can make against casinos, as I did in my first blog entry about it, and as I did when I challenged gambling, itself, on the basis of economics.  There’ll be no one participating in the debate who would challenge the greed of both MyOhioNow AND Argosy, like the points made here, here, and here.  In summation, the debate opponent will not be a formidable one.  That’s not the reason why MyOhioNow wants to back out.

The objection to the debate was that it was to be hosted by the League of Women Voters of the Greater Dayton Area!  Say WHAT??!!!  The League of Women Voters scares the bejeebers out of MyOhioNow?  The same League of Women Voters that host candidate and issue debates through various local chapters throughout Ohio and the rest of America?  My goodness, as a state rep candidate, I’ve participated in candidate forums hosted by Oberlin’s chapter the League of Women Voters TWICE, once in 2002, and again in 2004.  What’s the big deal?  If you visit the website of the League of Women Voters of Ohio, you can find this statement:

The League of Women Voters of Ohio (LWV-Ohio) announced its opposition to state Issue 6, the proposed constitutional amendment authorizing a privately owned casino in Clinton County.  LWV-Ohio’s stand is based principally on its public policy position on the Ohio Constitution, adopted in 1968 and readopted every two years since then.  This policy states that the Ohio Constitution should be a clearly stated body of fundamental principles, and provide for the flexible operation of government.  LWV-Ohio believes that Issue 6’s designation of a specific 94-acre parcel of land for a casino is too narrow a concept to be in the constitution.

LWV-Ohio also found Issue 6 at odds with another of its long-held public policy positions that states Ohio taxes should be fair and equitable.  LWV-Ohio believes Issue 6 grants a disproportionate share of the casino’s tax revenue to Clinton County.

LWV-Ohio President Linda Lalley said the LWV-Ohio Board carefully weighed the pros and cons of the issue in reaching its decision.  She emphasized, “The Ohio Constitution is the foundation of our state’s governance.  It should be—it must be—a clear set of fundamental principles that guide our state.  It should not be a pile of Post It Notes for special interests.”

I LOVE that last part that says the Ohio Constitution should not be a pile of Post It Notes for special interests.  That’s sheer genius!  I LOVE IT!!!

I guess it’s that sheer genius that MyOhioNow is scared of?  But wait!  They’re just the host of the debate, for crying out loud, they aren’t a participant in a debate!  What’s to be scared of?  John McCain and Sarah Palin had to participate in debates moderated by news anchors that favor Obama.  So what?  I don’t know if any of my debates as a candidate ever took place in a neutral or friendly setting.  When I was running as a Republican candidate, I was in the 56th Ohio House District, which has a Democrat index of 70%.  I spoke and had question and answer sessions in front of labor unions.  Oberlin’s chapter of the League of Women Voters is non-partisan, like any chapter of the organization is.  But, let’s be serious, I was an Oberlin resident in 2004, and I can tell you that registered Democrats outnumbered the registered Republicans by a factor of 25 to 1 in my precinct.  I think it likely that, though the League was non-partisan, more of the members were Democrats than they were Republicans, just as the Oberlin community, itself, has many more Democrats than Republicans.  Following MyOhioNow’s reasoning, I should have reconsidered.  What was I supposed to do?  Have a hissy-fit and refuse to appear?  Nonsense.  Did I want to represent my community in the Capitol or not?  Of course I participated.  While MyOhioNow says they’ve debated their opponents 20 times or so (a number that’s inflated by the times they’ve appeared before editorial boards), this is an opportunity to participate in a debate that has a target audience of Clinton County, the location of the proposed casino, itself.  So, does MyOhioNow want to be part of the Clinton County community or not?  Their actions say, NO, they just want to exploit the community.

MyOhioNow referred to the League of Women Voters as a “firing squad.” That’s absolutely outrageous.  The League does not conduct debates in such a manner.  If I were a Clinton County resident, I’d be offended by MyOhioNow’s lack of neighborliness and demonstrated lack of wanting to be held accountable to the community by way of dodging this debate.  If I were a member of the League of Women Voters, I’d also be offended at the “firing squad” description.  There are so few outlets for political speech that don’t cost money to a campaign.  The League of Women Voters is a godsend for providing opportunities to have voices on the candidates and issues be heard.  I’m very grateful for the opportunities the League afforded me to have my say in a public forum.

If we are witnessing this slippery ducking-and-dodging now, before we’ve even voted, I think it’s predictable how MyOhioNow will behave afterward, if Issue 6 were to be approved.  Let’s not approve it.  Vote NO on Issue 6.

Kalin Stipe at Word of Mouth presents the state ballot issues

“Why would we change our constitution to allow a monopoly when there are plenty of investors who would open up around Ohio. If you are going to change the law (especially the constitution) for one, then change it for all.

“The worst number of casinos to have in Ohio is ONE. Either keep it at zero or make it fair for more than one.”

Kalin Stipe

The above quote reflects a portion of Stipe’s view against Issue 6.  I’ve already written six blog entries against Issue 6 before now, so it’s only natural that I would choose a quote from Stipe that references opposition to Issue 6.

If you visit Word of Mouth, you will find that Stipe presents the pros and cons of all the state ballot issues before he weighs in with his own commentary, so if you’re scratching your head because you haven’t researched the issues yet, I recommend reading Stipe’s posts.  Here are the links:

  • Issue 1: Moving the deadline up on submitting petitions for ballot issues
  • Issue 2: Issuing $400 million in bonds, incurring more state debt, for brownfield revitalization and green space preservation
  • Issue 3: Setting forth the rights of property owners in relation to water on or below their land
  • Issue 4: This issue was withdrawn from the ballot
  • Issue 5: New regulations for payday lenders
  • Issue 6: Allowing one solitary casino to begin operation in Southwest Ohio

Kalin Stipe is voting no on 1, no on 2, yes on 3, no on 5, and no on 6.

I am voting yes on 1, no on 2, yes on 3, yes on 5, and no on 6.

Feel free to weigh in with how you’ll vote on the state’s ballot issues.

Supreme Court doesn’t repair damage to Brunner’s reputation

Though Ohio Secretary of State Jennifer Brunner won her appeal to the United States Supreme Court and ended the legal challenges to her handling of the current election process already underway, she’s mistaken if she thinks that she can pat herself on the back and feel that the damage she’s done to her own reputation has been repaired.

Though one line of legal questioning has been resolved, the controversy has not been erased, and confidence in Ohio’s election systems is far from being secured.  The Secretary of State could have been much more proactive, in prior months, in implementing sufficient checks and balances to erase all doubts about the integrity of the vote, but instead she permitted too many opportunities for gaming the system by those who don’t have scruples.

I expect she’ll face spirited opposition in 2010, should she decide to seek re-election.

I didn’t vote for Brunner in 2006, and I believe the events that have unfolded since her election have only caused me to feel vindicated that I voted correctly in the SoS race.

Video and audio against Issue 6

I am providing links to 2 different sources that speak out against Issue 6.

The first comes from WSPD radio (hat tip to Maggie Thurber, who pointed me in the radio station’s direction).  Brian Wilson hosts Jeff Hooke of the Buckeye Institute.  When I listened to the audio, I had to be patient, as it seemed a bit choppy, but the audio is here.

Hooke isn’t taking a stand against gambling itself.  He’s just pointing out that even if you favor gambling, Issue 6 is a bad way to introduce gambling to Ohio.  Hooke suggests the state introduce gambling by auctioning off licenses.  Personally, I think both the auctioning method, and the casino monopoly proposed by Issue 6 are both counter to America’s spirit of free enterprise.  I’m against gambling altogether, but if I were outvoted, and a majority of Ohioans wanted to legalize casinos, then I’d advocate a more libertarian approach (mentioned in my first anti-Issue 6 post), which would allow anyone to operate a casino business just like anyone can operate a restaurant business.  If it’s made legal, we shouldn’t curb competition.  A person shouldn’t have to be well-connected to a politician in order to set up shop, as that approach only breeds corruption.

Hooke also deflates the assertion that the casino would create new jobs.  At best, the casino would simply shift jobs within the entertainment and hospitality industry.  I’ve posted about opportunity cost, which gives more details.

The second link is to Capital Blog (hat tip to JMZ for pointing me in the blog’s direction), which has three video segments, here, featuring Ohio Roundtable and U.S. Senator George Voinovich.  In the first videosegment, Voinovich delivers a speech explaining his opposition to Issue 6 and to gambling, itself.  The second segment is a question-and-answer session with the press.  The third segment is a speech from David Zanotti, of the Ohio Roundtable, debunking some claims made by casinos.  Obviously, I am much more aligned to the Ohio Roundtable’s views on this subject than I am to the Buckeye Institute’s views.

Frustrate a lobbyist: vote NO on Issue 6

During 1993 and 1994, I was living in Columbus, working as a night auditor at one of the hotels (Howard Johnson Lodge) on Route 161, Dublin-Granville Road, near the interchange with I-71.  (If you’re wondering, the place doesn’t exist anymore.  It, and the neighboring Elephant Bar property, have since been bulldozed and redeveloped.)

During that time, I noticed that we had a perpetual guest.  Someone from out-of-state was essentially living at our hotel, with only a few vacation days here and there when he would head back to his home state.

What was the deal with that guy?

Of course, the hotel was grateful to have him stay there.  It sure helped the bottom line to have a room occupied every night.

A front desk clerk from the evening shift gave me the scoop one night when I came in for my graveyard shift: The hotel’s perpetual guest was a lobbyist for the casino industry.  He was there to peddle influence with our state legislators.  I frowned and said that I hoped that casinos would stay away from Ohio.  The front desk clerk told me matter-of-factly that there would be casinos in Ohio one day because, in the gambling industry, the “house” always wins, and they weren’t going to pay out all this cash for lobbying just to get shut out.  He predicted that the casino industry is absolutely certain Ohio will cave-in someday, and so the money they are spending on peddling influence is a sure bet.

I’m not taking anything for granted, but it’s been 15 years since I started at that night auditor job, and Ohio voters have laudably held the line against casinos, voting down proposal after proposal.

We’d had many out-of-state lobbyists sweep into town to stay at our hotel, but they’d stay for a week (probably when a critical piece of legislation was before the General Assembly) and then leave.  They didn’t stay month after month after month like the gambling lobbyist.

Think of the costs of hotel rooms for lobbyists.  Think of the expenditures for meals.  Think of the expenditures for transportation.  Much of the salaries of such lobbyists would have been spent in Ohio.  Add in the price tag for entertaining politicians.  Then add the price tag for advertising.

In these past 15 years, the casino industry has pumped millions of dollars INTO our economy, trying to get us to legalize their fraudulent parasitic schemes, while we’ve been a tightwad and denied them the satisfaction of picking our pockets.  That’s a track record Ohio can be proud of.  Let’s keep the streak going.

Don’t like the corrupting influence of lobbyists upon our state government?  Well, I have an idea about how to frustrate the plans of at least a few lobbyists:  Vote NO on Issue 6.

No on Issue 6: opportunity cost, multiplier effect

We study and try to understand economics because we do not live in a utopia.  Resources are finite, scarce, not unlimited.  We have to make decisions about where we will invest scarce resources because we cannot have it all.  We use many mechanisms to determine how to allocate resources.  We consider returns-on-investment, cost/benefit analyses, supply and demand curves, marginal revenue curves, lists of priorities, etc.  When we look at individual participants in an economy, we speak in terms of micro-economics, and when we look at aggregations of participants, including entire economies, then we speak in terms of macro-economics.  Sometimes, to understand what is happening on the macro level, we need to take a peek at what’s happening at the micro level.  Those analysts trying to get a handle on the housing crisis are doing just that.

So let me turn my attention to Issue 6, which would allow a casino to operate in Ohio.  On the macro level, I have often asserted that casino gambling siphons dollars out of the economy.  Siphoning dollars out of the economy would be a shrinkage risk to the economy, taking a toll on commerce, wealth, and employment, among other things.

Gambling is an industry that cannot sustain itself.  It is parasitic.  It sucks the economic life blood out of its victims, and must continually find new hosts to feed upon, or it eventually peters out.  Even  (perhaps, especially) proponents of casinos understand this, for, on the one hand, they try to limit competition (just one casino for all of Ohio, according to Issue 6), because they know that casinos on every street corner would be unsustainable, yet on the other hand, casinos can’t stand pat and stay where they are without expanding their scope, because they would fold for lack of new hosts to bleed dry.  In the state of Nevada, revenues from resort casinos that cater to tourists had leveled off.  To further boost gambling revenues, casinos with less frills that catered to Nevada residents spread across the Nevada landscape.  Despite all the gambling revenues across Nevada, quality of life hasn’t been on the rise.  In terms of public education of school children, Nevada is among the bottom 3 states, with Louisiana and Mississippi.  Nevada’s gambling revenue totals for the last 7 straight months have been down, and the trend shows every sign of continuing.  The housing market in Nevada is in crisis.  The foreclosure rate is skyrocketing.  The construction industry in Nevada is in the process of shutting down because of overbuild, just like Florida.  In an attempt to make ends meet in a sour economy, there are Nevada businesses that try to lower labor costs by hiring illegal immigrants.

Revenues at long-established casinos in Detroit and in the state of Indiana have also leveled off.  Demand for casinos isn’t rising, it’s dropping.  Casinos in Detroit haven’t prevented the city from being the most poverty-stricken in the nation, nor have tax revenues from casinos helped improve Detroit’s public schools.  As backers of Issue 6 have noted in their commercials, their proposal for a casino within a short drive from Cincinnati has sparked a turf war with Argosy, who operates in Indiana.  With declining revenues, the last thing Argosy wants is someone competing in their market area, and if expansion into Ohio were permitted, it would be Argosy seeking to expand into Ohio in order to fend off falling revenues.  Backers of Issue 6 are also running ads trying to make Ohio covet the casino industries that have set up shop in neighboring states.  We, Ohioans, shouldn’t covet the casinos of other states, as they really haven’t been helpful to the economies of those states.  Michigan’s economy is worse than Ohio’s.  West Virginia and Pennsylvania have limped along for decades now, and gambling isn’t doing anything to turn that around.  Indiana used to have a growing economy, but it’s become sour.  There’s nothing about a casino that will cure Ohio’s economic ills.

In fact, it’s the opposite.  Casinos will exacerbate Ohio’s economic ills.  Let’s figure out why.

You do not have an unlimited income.  There are limits to what you can do with your money, because you don’t have much.  So, when you spend money on a new sofa, that’s money that can’t be used for something else.  When you go out to dinner, that’s money that can’t be used for something else.  When you money on a day at Cedar Point, that’s money that can’t be used for something else.  When you gamble money at a casino, that money you lost can’t be used for something else.  That’s called opportunity cost.  When you spend money on something, it eliminates the opportunity to do something else with that money.

Our economy has hinged on consumption to keep it vibrant.  There is a multiplier effect that causes the money you spend to ripple through the rest of the economy.  We can thank the supply chain for that ripple effect.

When you buy that sofa, you receive a tangible asset in exchange for your money.  A sofa can be quite useful in your home.  Meanwhile, the money you spent becomes useful to the merchant.  The furniture store uses the cash to pay for expenses, including the salaries of workers.  Those workers now have the wherewithal to do some spending, too.  But the benefit doesn’t stop there.  It continues up the supply chain.  Your purchase reduced the store’s inventory.  The store places an order from a distributor to replenish the inventory.  Dollars go to the distribution center.  The distribution center pays its expenses, including the salary of workers.  Those workers now have the wherewithal to do some spending, too.  But the benefit doesn’t stop there.  The distribution center places an order with the sofa manufacturer to replenish its inventory.  Dollars go to the manufacturer.  The manufacturer pays its expenses, including the salaries of workers.  It doesn’t stop there.  The manufacturer places orders with suppliers for lumber, fabric, nails, screws, etc.  Dollars go to the suppliers.  It doesn’t stop there.  The suppliers place orders for raw materials to make components out of.  That’s the multiplier effect.

When you spend money at a restaurant, the restaurant pays its expenses, including the salaries of workers.  You received a tangible benefit–food.  You ate it.  You get to survive to see another day because you didn’t starve.  The money you spent in the restaurant doesn’t stay there.  The restaurant orders more food from a warehouse.  The warehouse pays its expenses, including salaries for workers, but it doesn’t stop there.  The warehouse places orders with companies that process foods, like cheesemakers, and bakeries. The benefits don’t stop there.  Eventually, the dollars reach all the way back to the farmers.

When you spend money at Cedar Point, you are also probably spending money on gasoline, maybe even a hotel, restaurant, or retail store.  I should know.  I live in Sandusky.  Again, those expenses for gasoline, hotel, restaurant, and retail store send dollars rippling up those respective supply chains, creating multiplier effects on the dollars you spent, expanding the economy.  At Cedar Point, they pay their expenses including salaries of workers, and they reinvest some of their profits during the winter on R&D, and construction to build the newest, fastest, tallest, steepest, longest roller coaster in order to keep ahead of the competition.  Thus engineering and construction firms are at work every year even when the park is closed for the winter.  The perpetual construction means that more dollars are spent for lumber, structural steel, masonry, fiberglass, etc.  The dollars keep rippling through the economy.

Then there are casinos.  You spend your money.  You lose your money.  You get nothing in return.  The casino pays its expenses, including the salaries of workers, and the rest of the money goes to the casino owners.  And that’s as far as your money goes.  No inventory needs to be replenished.  There is no supply chain.  You might have bought gasoline to get to the casino, but you might not have enough money to buy gasoline to get home.  You lost so much money, you feel sick.  You can’t eat.  You want to sleep it off, the casino comps you a room upstairs for the night, for the casino is selfish.  Once you enter, the casino doesn’t want you to spend a dime at other restaurants or hotels.  They want every dime to be spent on their property.  That’s what restaurants and hotels in downtown Detroit found out.  The casinos don’t share the wealth.  There’s been no uptick in the amount of business the restaurants and hotels do in Detroit since the casinos opened.  The casinos are selfish.  Your gambling losses line the pockets of some shady fat-cat casino owners.  What do they do with the wealth?  Greedy as they are, they probably try to shelter it, by off-shoring the money in some Swiss bank account, or in the Cayman Islands.  That money has left the economy for good.  You got nothing in return.  You go home, you still have to pay for the mortgage.  Can’t pay it?  You’ll end up in foreclosure.  You’ve got bills to pay.  Can’t pay them?  You might file for bankruptcy.  Forget the credit cards, you’ll have to cut them up when you file for bankruptcy.  Want to go shopping?  Forget about it.  You lost the money at the casino.  Opportunity cost.  The money you lost at the casino is lost to you forever.  You can’t get it back.  You can’t put that money to better use.  That money is not rippling through the economy.

The economy contracts.  As the economy contracts, there is less exchange of goods and services.  Businesses fold.  Workers lose their jobs.  The cycle embarks on a downward spiral.

Vote NO on Issue 6.  Casinos siphon money out of the economy.  That’s not going to help Ohio.

AP writer masquerades vote fraud editorial as news

As I was scanning through the headlines of the Lorain Morning Journal, there was one in particular that caught my eye: “Ohio GOP plays voter fraud card.”  I took a closer look, because such a headline belongs on an Op/Ed page.  The MJ could have chosen the wording of the headline and not realized the bias contained within it, so I checked the AP article itself, to see if it was straight news or if it was an editorial.  Alas, Stephen Majors, an Associated Press writer is passing this off as a news story.  It ought to be an editorial.  I’d already offered the counterpoint to the AP writer’s views here on my blog.  Furthermore, the MJ ought to know it’s an editorial based on election stories it has run in the past.

Let’s turn back the clock to 2004, when Ken Blackwell was Secretary of State instead of Jennifer Brunner.  As I mentioned in a blog entry about Oberlin College students taking advantage of early voting, I lived in Oberlin in 2004.  I had to wait for two-and-a-half hours to cast a ballot.  I was also a candidate for office that year (but I lost by a wide margin).  Really heavy turnout in the cities of Lorain County resulted in a Democrat sweep of county offices, not just a majority vote in favor of John Kerry:

High numbers of Oberlin College voters contributed to Republican losses on Tuesday, according to Robert Rousseau, chairman of the Lorain County Republican Party.

”It had a tremendous effect on the election,” Rousseau said. ”All these students went in there and they voted the entire ticket. This was the highest turnout ever in Oberlin and 99 percent of them were Democrats.”

In the run-up to those elections, there had been question marks about problematic voter registrations, and the MJ wrote about them.  Oberlin, itself, raised eyebrows at the number of voters registered compared to U.S. Census Bureau population estimates.

As a person who has collected campaign petition signatures in Oberlin, and a person who had regular interactions with others in the community while a resident there, let me add my own two cents on the very real potential for voter fraud.

  • Whenever I circulate petitions, I use a “walklist” that I obtain from the county’s Board of Elections that lists registered voters and their addresses.  This helps me to make sure that I am collecting valid signatures.  One can obtain walklists that show a voter’s party affiliation according to what ballot they requested the most recent time they voted in a primary.  Also, one can obtain lists that show whether voters voted in the most recent election, or if the voter hasn’t cast a ballot in four years and are on the verge of being purged from the list.  I can tell you for certain that there are some addresses on those walklists that do not exist.  The house number given matches no house number on the entire street.  How do such individuals remain on the voter rolls without getting purged?
  • Also, some addresses have shown two families registered to vote at an address, but only one family actually residing there.  How did the family not living there gain access to the ballot box?
  • A large number of Oberlin College residents are from out-of-state.  While there may be sufficient checks and balances to prevent someone from voting in multiple locations within Ohio, there aren’t sufficient checks and balances to prevent someone from voting in Ohio at their college address and then voting absentee by mail via an out-of-state permanent address.
  • Those canvassing to increase voter registration came to our door at least 6 times while I was at home.  Some of them even knocked at both the front door and then the back door to make sure they weren’t two separate residences.  Friends down the street who owned an adjacent house that they rented out to foreign students enrolled at Oberlin told us that multiple attempts were made to register the tenants even though the tenants told the canvassers they were Japanese citizens, not U.S. citizens.  Several of the students had a driver’s license, so, what if the zealous canvassers registered a few foreigners?  Are the checks and balances sufficient enough to prevent foreign nationals from voting when they have a valid address and can produce a driver’s license for ID?

County Boards of Elections are not allocated sufficient manpower to take these walklists and audit them by going door to door.  When I find discrepancies on walklists during petition drives, I don’t know of anything I can do, as a lay person, to red-flag the registration for further investigation by authorities.  Clearly, when voter registration exceeds population, somebody needs to be purged from the voter rolls.  Also, while a person has to attest that they are a citizen on a registration form, I don’t know what checks and balances are in place for verification.  With elections procedures set forth on a state-by-state basis instead of a national basis, I don’t know what checks and balances are in place to disallow persons from voting in more than one state if they have a temporary address that differs from a permanent address, let alone prevent “homeless” persons from being bused in from another state.

The Associated Press writer has this to say:

But do the arguments come with supporting evidence that voter fraud is prominent, or that the current election system isn’t catching it when it does happen? No.

Are we, as lay persons, even permitted to gather supporting evidence?  If so, I wouldn’t mind using Oberlin as a case study to reveal whether the system is being gamed or not.  I don’t think Brunner wants us to gather supporting evidence, as her spokespersons merely state that checks and balances are in place without offering explanation as to what those checks and balances are, as she refuses to answer media questions herself, and as she hasn’t permitted election observers during the early voting period.

Jeff Wagner for Ohio House 81st District

I’m generally not very keen on endorsing incumbents for the General Assembly, even within my own party.  If anything, I’m looking forward to a time when voters will “clean house” with by electing politicians who aren’t seeking long political careers.  “Cleaning house” would mean selecting politicians that seek laws that are fair to everyone, not laws that are favorable to campaign contributors to the detriment of those who didn’t donate to the campaign.

I do, however, endorse Jeff Wagner for state rep in Ohio House District 81.  If elected, Wagner will serve his 4th 2-year term.  After that, he would reach the end of his term limits.  I caught up with him at the Seneca County Republican Party Lincoln Day Dinner just this past spring and asked him what he’d do once he reaches his term limits.  His response?  Perhaps nothing political at all.  Just farming.  I find that refreshing.

The kinds of measures Wagner has been vocal about in the Ohio House of Representatives have been more humanitarian than they have been mercenary, which is why he’s one of the few incumbents I favor.  His hallmark, perhaps, has been his attempts to improve the foster care system in Ohio.  Most state reps wouldn’t care to investigate such an issue because well-heeled PAC’s aren’t lined up to donate campaign funds to the politician that tries to iron out such wrinkles.  He’s been responsive to the concerns of local law enforcement and safety forces, too.

The Tiffin Advertiser-Tribune offers a snapshot profile of Wagner and his Democrat challenger, Andrew Kashmer.

There’s a lot to like about Kashmer.  I see similarities between him and myself.  He’s been an Eagle Scout in the Boy Scouts, and so have I.  He’s worked in the public schools, and in special education classrooms, and so have I.  He’s got a platform geared toward improving public education, and so do I.  So Kashmer has some positives that would rank him ahead of a number of incumbent state reps around the state.

He is weak, however, on economic issues.  As we know, the economy is issue number one.

One of the economic issues that Kashmer is most outspoken about is the minimum wage.  It wasn’t long ago that Ohio upped its minimum wage requirements.  The Ohio economy didn’t blossom as a result.  Kashmer points out that the current minimum wage is $6.85 per hour, but says that in order to obtain a living wage, one must earn $13.50 per hour.  He says he wants to correct that discrepancy.  Let’s think about that for a minute.  Even if ratcheting up the minimum wage didn’t cause any job losses in Ohio, employers in the private sector may face sharply higher overhead costs, which they would have to pass on to consumers, which would raise the cost of living higher, which would mean a “living wage” would turn out to be more than $13.50 per hour.  Taxes might have to be raised, too, in order to increase the minimum wage for public sector employees, thus taxes might take a bigger bite out of the minimum wage paycheck, too.  So then what?  Raise the minimum wage again?  And then again?  And then again?  And keep on going until wage increases eclipse any globally competitive advantage our workers may have had in terms of productivity?  Of course, we know that jobs would leave Ohio if the minimum wage was almost doubled.

I can think of better ways to help workers earn a living wage.  In many other states, the wage rates are being eroded by the labor of illegal immigrants.  Securing our borders and enforcing immigration and labor laws would help shore up wage rates.  Policing and eliminating any underground market activity, thus protecting the above-ground market economy, would help.  A large part of the cost of living is housing costs, yet the government is trying to intervene with bailouts to prevent a correction in the housing markets.  Let supply and demand determine what these housing-based assets are worth.  The markets won’t be able to stabilize until true housing values are known.  If home prices are permitted to decline, then perhaps it wouldn’t be necessary to earn $13.50 per hour to obtain a living wage.  Perhaps it would be less.  Also, schoolchildren have to be pro-active about their future.  Do they think that they have a bright future if they leave high school for minimum-wage job opportunities?  Or are they going to blaze a way for them to earn much higher incomes?  Despite unemployment figures, there are careers that pay much better than minimum wage that fail to draw sufficient numbers of job applicants, thus creating demand for workers from overseas to fill those jobs.  There are enormous opportunities in nursing, engineering, the sciences, and information technology, to name a few.  Are we paving the way for kids to follow those career paths?  Or are we going to allow them to think they can make do as a drug dealer, street thug, rap-star-wannabe, local skateboard champion, reality TV show personality, porn star, pimp, or tattoo artist (or full-time blogger–LOL!)?

There are a number of things that can be done to ease our population out of poverty.  There are even measures that can be passed into state law by state representatives that would improve our economic outlook.  Arbitrarily raising the minimum wage just won’t cut it, I’m afraid.  Sorry Kashmer.

The 81st Ohio House District is comprised of Sandusky County, the western two-thirds of Seneca County and a chunk of southern Ottawa County.

TBMD: Vote NO on Issue 6, keep the zombies away

The Boring Made Dull is a blog that is neither boring nor dull.

Ohioans have voted down casino proposals, but they keep coming back.  We kill casino issue after casino issue, and even though these casino issues are dead, dead, dead, they keep on approaching us.  That’s why TBMD warns us about “The Zombie Amendment” to Ohio’s Constitution, which will appear on our ballots this November as Issue 6.

In true Halloween season fashion, TBMD recaps some of the horrors of Issue 6.

Please vote NO on Issue 6 and keep the zombies away for at least another day.

Brunner hurt by ACORN

Even before this general election season, I’d already thought the case against Ohio Secretary of State Jennifer Brunner was strong.

With the election upon us, the case grows stronger.

Brunner’s reputation isn’t really being threatened by Ohio Republicans, though.  As anyone knows, the Republican brand in Ohio has been damaged, so even though a number of GOP voices have been outspoken against Brunner, those dissenting voices haven’t had much sway over Ohio’s electorate.

The Ohio electorate is taking another look at Brunner, however, and not necessarily in a positive light.  ACORN (Association of Community Organizations for Reform Now) is under investigation in eight states for potential voter registration fraud, and is receiving national attention on all the news networks.  The MSM is investigating what checks and balances are in place to preserve the integrity of elections, and when the scrutiny turns to Ohio and Brunner, there are question marks.

The coverage of ACORN’s excesses is what has the electorate of Ohio scratching their heads about Brunner.  So far, Brunner’s strategy has been to shoot the messengers.  I don’t think that strategy will pay off when 2010 arrives.

Vote YES on Issue 5 and NO on Issue 6

I think it’s crazy that casting ballots has already begun in Ohio.  I hope voters are informed about all the candidates and issues on the ballot before they vote.

I would urge voters to limit payday lending and casino gambling by voting yes on Issue 5 and no on Issue 6 (more about Issue 6 here).

Are you upset about the shark-infested waters on Wall Street that endangered the middle class?  Are you upset at the rampant greed of the fat cats that prey upon those of us that are less savvy about money?  If so, there are conniving persons just like the ones on Wall Street that are scheming of ways to plunder Ohio residents by way of payday lending and casino gambling.  Voting yes on Issue 5 and no on Issue 6 will hold these predatory forces at bay (for now . . . unfortunately, the casino interests make incessant attempts to gain entry to Ohio).

Ads for these schemers and connivers may mention what the laws allow in neighboring states.  Let me suggest to you that what happens in other states is no concern of ours, except to point out that these predatory industries are detrimental to the economies of those other states.  States that neighbor ours are not faring well economically, and the presence of these predators only make conditions worse.  Ohio should be proactive, not reactive, and make laws that are in the best interests of Ohioans instead of worrying about what may or may not go on in other states.

Both of these predatory industries are suggesting that if you vote the way I suggest, jobs will be negatively impacted.  Let me just say that there is a reason why these vultures want us to lay down and die.  They want to devour us for lunch.  Let’s not be a carcass for them to feed on.  Vote yes on Issue 5 and no on Issue 6.

Deep-six Issue 6

Last night I saw a television advertisement promoting a “yes” vote on Issue 6.  Barf!

I want to urge all registered voters in Ohio to vote “NO!” on Issue 6.

I really wish the casino gambling industry would leave Ohio alone.  How many times have Ohio voters already voted “No” on these casino schemes?  So many that the casino industry should have gotten the message by now.

The tired old message of the advertisement was that some Ohioans travel out of state to gamble.  Big whoop-de-doo.  I’d venture to say that those making the casino trips are becoming fewer in number as time passes.  For one thing, it seems same-store revenues have leveled off and are currently waning in Indiana, Michigan, and West Virginia.  Even those who stay home and play the lottery are not participating as much.  Keno was supposed to fuel a new infusion of revenue into the lottery, but the word on the street is that Keno’s debut wasn’t all that successful.  Are these neighboring states really raking in a huge windfall from gamblers that are Ohio residents?  It sure doesn’t seem like it, with the way the economies of those states are tanking just like Ohio’s.  In every issue campaign to expand gambling in Ohio so far, the gambling industry has always tried to portray itself as a cure-all for what ails Ohio.  Yet, gambling surely hasn’t cured anything in neighboring states.

Issue 6 backers have their own web page.  The first tab I clicked on was labeled “Myths and Truths,” which only had a message of “Coming Soon,” on it.  Since, as of this writing, they haven’t discussed any myths or truths, let me share just a few.

THE BIGGEST MYTH OF ALL:  YOU WILL WIN THE JACKPOT

Truth: All the grandiose claims of the new jobs and tax revenues that the casino will generate is based upon . . . LOSERS!  The casino industry exists because it’s designed to make you LOSE money.  The casino can’t pay any taxes or any of its payroll unless customers lose.  However, the casino lures customers by pumping up their hopes of WINNING.  Another word for this seeming paradox is FRAUD.  Legalizing casinos is legalizing fraud.  A customer goes to the casino buying into all the hype about winning, but leaves empty-handed.  The customer did not receive what they paid for.  Fraud.

All the other myths, including the one on the website’s front page about the casino generating up to 5,000 new jobs, tie into the biggest myth of all, and tie in to the truth behind the myth, which is that people LOSE.

And what about that claim of up to 5,000 new jobs generated by the legalization of this solitary casino along a stretch of I-71 between Columbus and Cincinnati?  The key words are “up to,” which renders the number, itself, meaningless.  “Up to” means it might get as high as that number, but it might not.  So I can say the casino might create up to 5 jobs.  It might generate 5 jobs.  It might not.  I can say the casino might create up to 50 jobs.  I can say it might create up to 500 jobs.  It might create up to 5,000 jobs.  It might create up to 50,000 jobs.  It might create up to 500,000 jobs.  It might create up to 5,000,000 jobs.  What if I said legalizing this casino might create up to 50,000,000 jobs, but it, in reality, only created 50 jobs?  Did I lie?  No.  Because I used the words “up to,” which doesn’t indicate any minimum, only a maximum.  I never used the words “at least,” which would would have indicated a minimum.  So, don’t pay any attention to the number, as it’s meaningless when preceded by the words “up to.”

Another myth is what each county will receive in taxes on gambling revenues.  The projections mean nothing because they really don’t know how much revenue they would receive.  Also, the assumptions about the tax rates are based on the assumption that this casino would enjoy a monopoly in Ohio, with no competitors.  That’s a really huge assumption.  Can this solitary casino maintain it’s monopoly in Ohio?  Nope.  Native American nations, like the Eastern Shawnee, have already staked claims for where they will build casinos.  The only catch is that Ohio doesn’t allow casinos, so these claims have laid dormant.  Once Ohio allows this first casino, there is no way that the other claims can be denied.  The first casino may fight the efforts to allow competition (here’s their flimsy, wishful-thinking argument) from the Eastern Shawnee and other Native American nations, but once the issue reaches the courtrooms, forget about it.  Existing Federal laws will permit the Native American nations to operate casinos in Ohio once the state opens the door for the first casino.  The tax deal accompanying Issue 6 says that if the first casino doesn’t maintain its monopoly in Ohio, that it would be taxed at the same rate as the competitor that pays the lowest taxes.  The Native American nations are exempt from paying taxes on their casino revenues.  Therefore, once the Native American nations break the casino monopoly, $0 tax dollars will be generated by the casino legalized by Issue 6.

Middle-class Americans fork over their hard-earned dollars to Middle East oil barons, and we run the risk of terrorist threats because of it.  Middle-class Americans fork over their hard-earned dollars to pay the mortgage, and Wall Street mishandles it.  Middle-class Americans fork over their-hard earned dollars to the Federal government, and the Federal government uses it to bail out the same Wall Street bigwigs that mishandled the money we sent them.  Why should middle-class Ohioans fork over their hard-earned dollars to line the pockets of some filthy stinking rich casino owners?  I’m sick and tired of the filthy stinking rich, whether they be in the Middle East, in Washington, on Wall Street, or anywhere else, always conniving new ways of reaching into our pockets.  Stay out of my pocket!  And that includes the casino owners!

For those who are Libertarian who think that Ohio ought to allow casinos, let me assure you that Issue 6 is no Libertarian proposal.  If it were a Libertarian proposal, then we wouldn’t be talking about legalizing a casino monopoly within the state.  If it were a Libertarian proposal, it would simply be a blank check allowing anyone to open a casino in any community in the state without any barriers to competition, much like anyone can open a restaurant or a convenience store in any community in the state.  Issue 6 still makes it illegal for the ordinary person to open a casino.  Only one entity will be permitted to open a casino, and that entity is described thusly:

The MyOhioNow.com project is a joint venture with Lakes Entertainment, Inc. (NASDAQ: LACO), operators of premier gaming facilities located nationwide.

Looking over the petition language, I am reminded of the handiwork of disgraced former Ohio Attorney General Marc Dann, who always carried water for the gambling interests.

CERTIFICATION OF ATTORNEY GENERAL

Without passing on the advisability of the approval or rejection of the matter referred, but pursuant to the duties imposed on the Attorney General’s Office under Section 3519.01(A) of the Ohio Revised Code, I hereby certify that the summary is a fair and truthful statement of the proposed initiated constitutional amendment, adding Article XV, § 6a(A)-(G).

Marc Dann
Attorney General
December 20, 2007

Finally, I want to talk a little bit about gambling’s REAL impact on the economy.

If I were to buy a sofa from a store, I would gain something tangible, a sofa.  The store I bought it from would gain something tangible, my cash.  With the cash, the store would meet its financial obligations, like paying rent to the leasing agent, and paying the wages of the sales associates.  Furthermore, the store would seek to replenish its inventory, so it would place an order for a sofa to be shipped from a distribution center.  The distribution center would ship another sofa to the store.  The distribution center would receive more sofas from the manufacturer to maintain the distribution center’s inventory.  The manufacturer would keep on churning out new sofas.  In addition to paying worker wages, the manufacturer also orders components and supplies with which to make the sofas, so orders are placed for wood, fabric, screws, etc.  Buying a sofa has a multiplier ripple effect on the economy.  A lot of economic activity is sustained by purchasing a product.

In contrast, if I took the same amount of money needed to buy a sofa and I lost it all while gambling in the casino, I bring home nothing tangible.  The casino owner has to pay a few employees and a few utility bills in order to keep operating, but that’s it.  Since you went home empty handed, no inventory had to be replenished, so your hard-earned cash never went up any supply chain creating more ripples in the economy.  Your money went into the pocket of a casino owner, who was rich to begin with, and didn’t really need your money, even though the casino owner was greedy for your money.  What does the casino owner do with the money?  Maybe the money gets stashed in an off-shore bank account in the Cayman Islands.  The money was siphoned out of the economy.  It’s no longer in circulation.  The money is gone and you’ve got nothing to show for it.  This is why Indiana’s economy is not being helped by the casinos.  This is why Michigan’s economy is not being helped by the casinos.  I could keep going.  The point is, Ohio’s economy won’t be helped by a casino.  It will only seek to further impoverish Ohio’s population to satisfy its own greed.

Ohio GOP rank-and-file welcome Palin

The Obama camp’s attempts to rip apart John McCain’s VP pick, Alaska Governor Sarah Palin, during the first few hours since McCain’s announcement, have been awkward, to say the least.  I think Obama should call a time-out for all of his surrogates, have a huddle, and decide on a coherent message that doesn’t involve embarrassing themselves.  I feel embarrassed for the Obama campaign.

I have long thought that the way for McCain to win Ohio was to campaign on government reform.  The Republican base in Ohio was truly demoralized as it was given the task of purging tainted GOP officeholders from their offices in the 2006 elections.  I worried that the most challenging task for McCain was to get out the vote when the base was disillusioned with the Republican brand in Ohio.  The rank-and-file Republicans in Ohio needed to believe that some scandal-free crusaders still existed that would battle government corruption on behalf of the people.

This morning, Senator John McCain introduced Governor Palin to an audience of about 11,000 who were gathered on the campus at Wright State University.  The audience was elated.

Palin is the kind of candidate we’ve been waiting for.  McCain’s VP choice signals that he is serious about championing the people in reforming Washington.  McCain has taken the very important first step he needed to take in order to energize the base and get out the vote.

I’ve been grinning from ear-to-ear ever since the announcement was made, despite Democrat attempts to land devastating blows against McCain’s choice.

Barack Obama and surrogates, just chill for a few moments, get your wits together, and think about what you’re going to say before you say it so you can stop embarrassing yourselves.

Ohio’s dropouts

It’s about males.

Two-and-a-half weeks ago at Lorain County Community College, I attended the Hispanic Leadership Conference (which I’ll detail more in a future posting). During the conference, one of the workshops I attended was titled “Closing the Achievement Gap.”  The presenter was Nelson Ramirez, formerly a director at two non-profits: Lorain County Community Action Agency (which, among other things, administers Lorain County’s Head Start program); and El Centro de Servicios Sociales, a social service agency serving Lorain’s Hispanic community.  Currently, Nelson Ramirez is a Project Manager in Governor Ted Strickland’s administration who has been assigned to work on an initiative to close the achievement gap among the various population groups in Ohio’s primary and secondary schools.  A great deal of emphasis is being placed on improving high school dropout rates and lobbying the General Assembly for including these initiatives in the biennial budgets.

More than a dozen countries lead the USA with higher high school graduation rates, which is sobering considering that the world’s superpower isn’t leading the pack.  While Ohio’s graduation rate is higher than the nation’s average, there are glaring discrepancies between population groups. One might expect, just from anecdotal evidence, that Hispanics and African-Americans lag behind Caucasians in high school graduation rates.  There’s more to it, though.  Across all racial/ethnic lines, there is a gender dimension to the dropout rate, with males dropping out at a much higher rate than females, and that’s where it becomes all about the males.

To be sure, female dropouts do have troubles of their own, while dropouts of both genders earn less than those who have higher levels of education (and thus pay less in taxes), female high school dropouts have lower per capita incomes as adults than do their male dropout counterparts.  But though female high school dropouts may need to rely on government social programs like WIC, food stamps, and Medicaid, they don’t cost Ohio nearly as much per person in government expenditures as male dropouts do.  That’s because male dropouts have a significantly disproportionate tendency to become imprisoned.

Currently, about 24% of all Ohio teens are dropping out.  High school dropouts comprise nearly 75% of the inmate population at state prisons.  **gulp**

It is estimated that the average high school dropout in the criminal system (ONE individual–am I being redundant?) will require the state to shell out $1.5 million to $1.8 million over the course of that dropout’s lifetime as a direct consequence of that dropout’s criminal activity, alone.  That’s just the cost of the criminal activity IF there is no drug abuse being factored in.  If there is a drug addiction problem, add in a few hundred thousand more, and that the overall cost over a lifetime will balloon to $2.3 million.

Along with the gender and racial/ethnic dimensions of Ohio’s dropout rate, there is a geographic dimension, too, as one might expect since African-Americans and Hispanics are not uniformly spread throughout Ohio’s population in rural, suburban, and urban settings.  As one would expect, dropout rates are usually higher in urban settings, and this leads us to a new statistic: poor performing high schools, or “dropout factories,” which are high schools that graduate 60% or less of each incoming freshman class.  80% of the nation’s dropout factories are located in 15 states, which means the other 35 states are home to only 20% of the nation’s dropout factories.  Ohio is in the group of 15 states.  In Cleveland, Akron, Toledo, Columbus, and Cincinnati school districts, at least half of the high schools are dropout factories.  **gulp**  60% of Ohio’s African-Americans attend dropout factories.  **gulp**  Therefore, the target of the initiative to improve Ohio’s graduation rates is primarily the African-American male high school freshman.

It is relatively easy to predict who is most likely to drop out.  They are already lagging behind classmates in the 4th grade.  A 3rd grade reading level is the point of divergence between those that are likely to graduate and those that are likely to drop out.

Of course, dropping out is an individual decision.  Only 22% of dropouts believe that they were not personally responsible for dropping out.  The reasons given for dropping out include: they didn’t find classes interesting; they missed too many days of school and couldn’t catch up; they spent much of their time with people who weren’t interested in school; they had were given wide latitude in whatever they chose to do with very few ground rules laid down by their parents/guardians; they were failing in school; real life events got in the way of school; and parents/guardians tried to become involved way too late in the educational process.

The strategies outlined in Governor Strickland’s initiative to improve the graduation rate (beyond identifying the key population groups) are:

  • Attendance and behavior monitors
  • Focus on achievement in core courses
  • Tutoring as an academic support
  • Counseling/Mentoring
  • Small learning communities for greater personalization (such as school within a school)
  • Catch-up courses
  • Homeroom, teams, or looping
  • Ninth Grade Academies or transition programs
  • Tiered approach to providing behavioral and/or academic support
  • Focus on positive effects for diverse students
  • Focus on positive effects for students with disabilities
  • Career/College awareness
  • Family engagement
  • Community engagement
  • Ensuring partnerships between high schools and feeder middle schools

The attempt to intervene with these actions is taking place at the boundaries between 8th and 9th and 10th grades.  Naturally, I pointed out that the challenges could be addressed in much earlier years in a child’s education.  There is a desire by the Governor’s administration to address these challenges in earlier years, but so far, they are working to at least get the ball rolling, and this is their starting point.  The chief argument being used in lobbying the General Assembly for appropriations for this initiative is that it is less costly to the state than taking no action to reduce the dropout rate.

Over all, Nelson Ramirez gave a very thought-provoking lecture that concluded with vigorous discussion, as you might imagine.

Redfern makes good on his promise

Prior to state Dem leadership calling upon Ohio Attorney General Marc Dann to resign or be impeached, I criticized the Democrats, and mentioned Redfern by name, for being slow to break their silence.  Kevin DeWine, deputy chair of the Ohio Republican Party had already staked out a position.

This past Monday, Chris Redfern was among Ohio’s Democrat leaders that signed a letter addressed to Marc Dann expressing their displeasure and asking for his resignation or face impeachment.  Later, it was revealed that the Ohio Democrat Party had removed all mentions of Dann from its website and Redfern caused a stir in the blogosphere indicating that the party would no longer endorse Dann.  Today, the Ohio Democrat Party is holding a convention and the news has already come out that the votes are in, and the ODP has officially stripped Dann of the endorsement they gave him in 2006.

The noose is tightening, Marc Dann.

While Redfern has carried out the ultimatum made by the ODP, there is still one thing that remains that continues to stick in my craw.  Since Marc Dann has refused to resign, the state Dem leadership promised to begin impeachment proceedings in the Ohio House.  So far, the impeachment process has not yet begun.

I’m extremely disappointed.  Perhaps I’ll complain to my state representative.  Oh, by the way, I currently live in Sandusky, so that means that my state rep is . . . CHRIS REDFERN!!!!!

Ahem . . . !